Wednesday, September 16, 2009

Yield curve forecast _ September 2009


Each month Bloomberg surveys 60 to 70 economists to get their estimates of where Fed Funds, the 2-year Treasury, and the 10-year Treasury will be over the next several quarters. I take this data and interpolate for the points in between the survey data to create the attached report. This allows us to get a broad view of where various economists see interest rates going over the coming quarters.


Interestingly enough the forecasts are lower this month for almost every spot on the curve through 2011.



If you have any questions on this material just let me know.












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